Sean t rcp twitter. May 3, 2022 · “Most people on this site sort into...

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In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested users“This histogram of Ohio precincts by Democratic share of the two-party vote really shows the Democrats' problem in a nutshell: Democrats have a significant number of precincts where Biden got 75% of the vote or more; Trump has comparatively few.”“On the uncontested House races, it is obviously proper to try to estimate vote totals for those seats. It's weird that people are suddenly super keyed in on this known-for-decades-but-always-ignore-issue, but whatevs. There are 10R uncontested and 2D. BUT . …May 31, 2022 · “We're reaching the end of the second quarter, which is when election outcomes are more-or-less baked in. At this point, you really have to have Republicans as overwhelming favorites to take the House with solid margins, and strong favorites to take the Senate.” In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested usersIn this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested usersJun 1, 2022 · “Any of the remaining three presents a strong case, to my mind. I don't think it's AotC though. OK, fine, "I don't like sand" is arguably the worst or second worst line in all Star Wars history. But if you pull the Padme/Anakin romance and ninja Yoda stuff, it isn't terrible. 2/” Sean T at RCP is a free elf @SeanTrende. Take a random sample of NFL wideouts and NBA guards, train them up from a young age to be soccer players, and we would have a premier team. Our standout athletes have all …“Ds missing the runoff in Texas isn't that terrible--it's often a quirk of these jungle primaries--but Ds getting outrun 62%-37% in total voteshare among the candidates in a Trump + 4 district is substantially worse than I'd expected. One election though.”Marc Thiessen: Florida, I think he went from 35% to 50% Hispanic support. We just spent four years talking about how Donald Trump hates Hispanics. Well, ...If you are a fan of political commentary and news analysis, tuning in to watch Sean Hannity live can be a valuable experience. When you watch Sean Hannity live, you gain access to real-time updates on breaking news stories and current event...Sean Trende is senior elections analyst for RealClearPolitics. He is a co-author of the 2014 Almanac of American Politics and author of The Lost Majority. He can be reached at strende ...Sean Strickland has a very straightforward opinion on his first possible title defense.. The next UFC middleweight title fight was seemingly decided at UFC 294 in …. Recovering Att'y. Married to @emytrende , dad to 3. You shall love your crooked neighbor, with your crooked heart. Sean T at RCP is a free elf 2020/03/19/coronavirus-effect-economy-life-society-analysis-covid-135579 “@sahilkapur @RobGeorge @EsotericCD On 2), I never understood the white hot, burning hatred of Buttigieg among younger progressives. But it is very much there.”Sean T at RCP is a free elf @SeanTrende This MT-Sen scandal might just be an opening salvo that will get much worse but for now I suspect a hit piece from business insider about 15 year old Facebook pics probably helps in …“I think these analyses provide useful context on where this election stands. The biggest limitation on these analyses isn't that the GOP holds a large number of seats to begin. It is that they describe linear relationships between seat gain which probably don't hold this cycle.”RT @davidshor: To be more pointed - Catalist data shows that non-college voters of color have trended *enormously* toward the GOP since 2012, by similar magnitudes as non-college whites (particularly on a logit scale!). “Gen X is gonna get skipped over for presidents until we're 80 years old like the Silents. No respect.”Sean T at RCP Verified account @SeanTrende. Sr. Elections Analyst, RCP. @osupolisci. @aei. Recovering Att'y. Married to @emytrende, dad to 3. You shall love your crooked neighbor, with your crooked heart.“Anyway,that's why VIII is the worst main storyline film. It destroys too much of the main storyline to leave any hope of wrapping things up in the final film. In fact, if I learned that Johnson was intentionally sabotaging the series, it …Sean Strickland has a very straightforward opinion on his first possible title defense.. The next UFC middleweight title fight was seemingly decided at UFC 294 in …Nov 8, 2022 · “Alright, Florida (mostly), Georgia, IN-01, Western KY, SC, VT and VA are on deck. Then at 8, all hell breaks loose.” [Sean T at RCP, RT'ed by Nate Cohn] Reminder: don’t be a crosstab truther. You’re dealing with small sample sizes, sometimes subjected to multidimensional weighting. They’re …“Which was a huge miscalculation on his part (I remember some offical basically saying "no Republican president would be crazy enough to undo this." Oops.) Anyway ...Aug 3, 2022 · “This is really straightforward, and it's one of those things that separates serious people from unserious ones in my mind. Heck, even if the blame ultimately falls with the GOP voters, there's no justification for becoming a party to this loon potentially winning. Not that hard.” Jun 1, 2022 · “OK, let's settle this: Worst Star Wars main storyline movie. I'll give my take at the end, but I do think a case can be made for any of these.” RT @davidshor: To be more pointed - Catalist data shows that non-college voters of color have trended *enormously* toward the GOP since 2012, by similar magnitudes as non-college whites (particularly on a logit scale!). “Could just be a bump in the road, but feels like things could get real, real quick. Or maybe it's just general PTSD from COVID-related stuff.”“Anyway, this might be a one-off thing. I hope it's a one off thing, and not another example of liberalism, having become ascendant in American politics, abandoning some of the principles that enabled it to begin its ascent out of fear that something else might replace it. 6/”Sean T at RCP is a free elf @SeanTrende. I am not dismissive of these studies, but in retrospect my friends in high school who were the most into drugs tended to be self-medicating for anxiety/depression. Hard to separate chickens from eggs here. Quote Tweet. Gary Rosen.Jul 8, 2022 · “As I've said before, I think the alternatives offered up by the Tea Party purifiers and populists have largely been appalling. But if you look back over the past 40 years, its not hard to understand how this happened. 17/17” [Sean T at RCP, RT'ed by Nate Cohn] Reminder: don't be a crosstab truther. You're dealing with small sample sizes, sometimes subjected to multidimensional weighting. They're mostly useful for patterns that appear across multiple polls, not for disputing the topline's accuracy. twitterApr 16, 2021 · In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested users “@jibberegg @Nate_Cohn @ZachWeiner The version I came across didn't have the attribution, but I am happy to have it attached (by my replying, this should bump the comment up to the top of the comment chain). Thanks!”Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested usersA new book about Sen. Mitt Romney details his interactions with Fox News host Sean Hannity. Romney and Hannity were allies, but the TV host turned on the senator over his anti-MAGA posture. Romney ...“In 2012 and 2016, the mantra was to treat polls as akin to God's spoken word. The polls were unusually good in 2008, and of course we had Nate Silver's breakthrough going 100 for 102 or whatever (in his defense, Silver was always forthright about poll uncertainty) 2/”“Those deep red counties in the southwest (Leip still uses the red = D, blue = R coloring)? Justice ran about 40 points ahead of Clinton. That's coal country. 3/”“I've been mulling over some of the defenses of Australia's anti-COVID regime from liberal friends, and the ACLU's defense of vaccine mandates. I can't decide if this is a one-off, or some greater shift in American liberalism. 1/”When it comes to connecting with people, celebrities can’t get enough of Twitter. Having the ability to easily describe what you’re feeling can become addictive. If you let off too much steam, however, you might land yourself in trouble.Sean T at RCP Verified account @SeanTrende. Sr. Elections Analyst, RCP. @osupolisci. @aei. Recovering Att'y. Married to @emytrende, dad to 3. You shall love your crooked neighbor, with your crooked heart.In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested users“The people hunting “deplorables” ARE THE BAD GUYS. Seriously, it’s about an uprising against a bunch of effete, entitled international elites in cars with EU plates led by a Mississippian in a body-suit apparently modeled …In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested usersSean Trende is senior elections analyst for RealClearPolitics. He is a co-author of the 2014 Almanac of American Politics and author of The Lost Majority. He can be reached at strende ...“Put differently, if you had placed Kennedy on the 1968 Warren Court, he would have appeared to be a freakishly right-of-center justice. For that matter, Souter probably would have voted with Harlan, who held down the right flank of that Court. 6/”“@Graniteprof @dandrezner @ErinBurnettCNN People aren't marching on the capitol building, so maybe "backlash" is too strong in our current climate, but yeah.”“@_Chris_Golding_ From what I understand this happened at the end of the fourth quarter, and it took a while to figure out exactly what was going on. All coaches (who are just parents) were horrified, but this is something there needs to be clear guidance on at a …In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested users“If you don't want to know about the horse race, it's a big internet! Lots of people write about policy. In fact, there are more of them than there are of us, in part because there's no real mystery about the types of …“Mason has been singing the same song over and over again for the past 20m in his little 8 y/o boy voice and one nice thing about having three is that I recognize that voice (and maybe the singing) will be gone in the blink of an eye. So when he stops, I ask him to sing it again.”Jul 8, 2022 · “Which was a huge miscalculation on his part (I remember some offical basically saying "no Republican president would be crazy enough to undo this." Oops.) Anyway ... “Here in the real world Silver gives Demings a 1-in-17 chance of beating Rubio, but sure, why not?”Sep 1, 2021 · “One problem Biden has is that he doesn't have much "crawl-over-broken-glass-twice-to-vote-for-him" type support. That inoculated Obama and Trump from a total wipeout. He really could completely collapse.” Sean Trende is the Senior Elections Analyst for RealClearPolitics. He is the author of "The Lost Majority: Why the Future of Government Is Up for Grabs and Who Will Take It," and co-authored the ...Jul 8, 2022 · “Which was a huge miscalculation on his part (I remember some offical basically saying "no Republican president would be crazy enough to undo this." Oops.) Anyway ... In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested users. In this conversation. Verified account Protected“So I don't know. Ideology certainly m “OTOH, we could also easily see something like this,without getting too aggressive (234D-201R).” “McCaskill is hitting the number she needs in St. Lou Log in. Sign up Log in. Sign up...

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